ok so exactly how common is this tiger mini? - Guild Wars Forums

jch_8705 · Feb 14, 2010, 10:03 AM // 10:03

ok im not whinning or whatever ive gotten 3 tigers with 4 character not too bad

but if its this common is it gonna be worth anything later i mean i see the prices at around 60-80k atm

to me honestly thats not alot to some i guess its a fortune but wow is that the most these kittens are gonan be at?

i know the drop rate is what .33% or so

whats your opinion on this commonarity lol

sykoone · Feb 14, 2010, 10:04 AM // 10:04

They're about as rare as the Ox, which dipped as low as 20k after a couple months, then started a slow climb back up.

Arduin · Feb 14, 2010, 10:09 AM // 10:09

The tiger is a limited offer miniature, so prices are expected to rise after CNY. However, because of the very high abundance and the easy-to-get-nature of the minipet, don't expect to get rich from selling them in the next two years.

jch_8705 · Feb 14, 2010, 11:27 AM // 11:27

hum guess i should sell them now to less fortunate ppl i been getting offer left and right but im a giver hate to take advantage of ppl lol

JimmyNeutron · Feb 14, 2010, 04:13 PM // 16:13

Quote:

Originally Posted by jch_8705

hum guess i should sell them now to less fortunate ppl i been getting offer left and right but im a giver hate to take advantage of ppl lol

I'll make it easier for you. GIVE THEM TO ME!!!

IGN: Filthy Rich Biatch

Shadow Feathers · Feb 14, 2010, 04:21 PM // 16:21

I'm with everyone else unless you're going to wait for several years you're not going to get rich from selling these minis if that's what you were really asking.

Far as how common they are, they don't actually seem to be rare or at the .33% of dropping from what I've seen within my own guild. I got one after opening 90 fortunes, another guild member after only 25 fortunes and we have another who has only opened 300 and now has 4 mini tigers. Perhaps it's all just dumb luck but the drop rate seems much higer then the .33 % that wikki claims and I've seen things on wikki that were wrong before. Is there a thread where anyone is actually seeing who got what and trying to get an actual average ?

Baku_The_Killer · Feb 14, 2010, 04:27 PM // 16:27

So, why did the Celestial Pig went up to 300e+?? They're not just the same harder to get?

I see Celestial Tigers unded for 40-60k... I doubt it reaches more than 100k, but don't have idea on why the Pig did.

jch_8705 · Feb 14, 2010, 04:33 PM // 16:33

Quote:

Originally Posted by Baku_The_Killer

So, why did the Celestial Pig went up to 300e+?? They're not just the same harder to get?

I see Celestial Tigers unded for 40-60k... I doubt it reaches more than 100k, but don't have idea on why the Pig did.

actually celestial pigs were different they didnt drop but rather you had to trade 4 regular pigs to receive 1 celestial pig thus making them imposible to get other than buying now a days

JimmyNeutron · Feb 14, 2010, 04:34 PM // 16:34

Quote:

Originally Posted by Baku_The_Killer

So, why did the Celestial Pig went up to 300e+?? They're not just the same harder to get?

I see Celestial Tigers unded for 40-60k... I doubt it reaches more than 100k, but don't have idea on why the Pig did.

5 regular piggies = 1 celestial piggies....more work meaning you have to buy 5 pigs and turn it in.

a LOT of work....REALLY

Lord Dagon · Feb 14, 2010, 04:45 PM // 16:45

perosnally i think that .33 droprate is a lie. I managed( w/in about 30 foruntes) to get 3 tigers. And before that i got 1 in my first 20. i think perosnally( just based on me) the droprate is preety darn high lmao.

JimmyNeutron · Feb 14, 2010, 04:58 PM // 16:58

2,680 Lunar Fortunes and ZERO (0) Celestial Tiger

Premium Unleaded · Feb 14, 2010, 04:59 PM // 16:59

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

Arduin · Feb 14, 2010, 05:28 PM // 17:28

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tobi Madera

perosnally i think that .33 droprate is a lie. I managed( w/in about 30 foruntes) to get 3 tigers. And before that i got 1 in my first 20. i think perosnally( just based on me) the droprate is preety darn high lmao.

The .33 is an average. Go talk to JimmyNeutron.

sixdartbart · Feb 14, 2010, 07:04 PM // 19:04

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arduin

The .33 is an average.

or a completely made up stat like most things are...

chaosincarnate87 · Feb 14, 2010, 07:07 PM // 19:07

Quote:

Originally Posted by JimmyNeutron

5 regular piggies = 1 celestial piggies....more work meaning you have to buy 5 pigs and turn it in.

a LOT of work....REALLY

the multiple ppl talking about this also left out the fact that ppl had to save those pigs from the year prior which made the pigs even more rare at that point.

but 673 fortunes = 5 tigers for me. some people just have better luck with em than others, ive seen people in ally open over 1000 and only get 1 or none.

Arduin · Feb 14, 2010, 07:15 PM // 19:15

Quote:

Originally Posted by sixdartbart

or a completely made up stat like most things are...

Well, it is kinda documented on the wiki.

http://wiki.guildwars.com/wiki/Lunar_Fortune/Drop_rate

Sample size of 11,659 fortunes. Maybe it isn't exactly .33 , but probably not more than 1%

sixdartbart · Feb 14, 2010, 07:29 PM // 19:29

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arduin

Well, it is kinda documented on the wiki.

http://wiki.guildwars.com/wiki/Lunar_Fortune/Drop_rate

Sample size of 11,659 fortunes. Maybe it isn't exactly .33 , but probably not more than 1%

And that is offered up by a very small amount of people whos numbers may or may not be accurate or even true.

If I add in my data of 100 fortunes in which I got 1 tiger on the 10th one I opened then got 4 more fortunes which I got another tiger on the 4th that does what to the .33%?
Then add in more like that which I have seen several posts this weekend at least claiming to have had several drops in a small amount of fortunes and what happens to the numbers?

Not trying to argue here, just saying.
Just because you read something somewhere doesn't make it true.

87.4% of all statistics are made up {including this one}
That number goes up greatly on the internet.

HawkofStorms · Feb 14, 2010, 08:47 PM // 20:47

Quote:

Originally Posted by sixdartbart

And that is offered up by a very small amount of people whos numbers may or may not be accurate or even true.

If I add in my data of 100 fortunes in which I got 1 tiger on the 10th one I opened then got 4 more fortunes which I got another tiger on the 4th that does what to the .33%?
Then add in more like that which I have seen several posts this weekend at least claiming to have had several drops in a small amount of fortunes and what happens to the numbers?

Not trying to argue here, just saying.
Just because you read something somewhere doesn't make it true.

87.4% of all statistics are made up {including this one}
That number goes up greatly on the internet.

And people's anecdotal "I've open 20 and got 2 tigers" is a much better way to base statistical theory on.

Look, you asked for numbers. We gave you numbers. You try to refute the validity of the numbers with NOTHING.

Sorry, not going to happen. Especially considering how valid wiki drop rate research is in other areas. And considering the shear size of the sample and the number of different people who have been involved in it.

madriel222 · Feb 14, 2010, 08:58 PM // 20:58

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arduin

Well, it is kinda documented on the wiki.

http://wiki.guildwars.com/wiki/Lunar_Fortune/Drop_rate

Sample size of 11,659 fortunes. Maybe it isn't exactly .33 , but probably not more than 1%

Let me add my 9 stacks of fortunes without a mini to that sample size...XD

ightgg · Feb 14, 2010, 09:14 PM // 21:14

Right as im reading this thread, i decide to open 75 more fortunes (making it a total of 250 fortunes which is equal to 3 stacks of tokens) and i got one! Woot i love my tiger

Feb 14, 2010, 10:03 AM // 10:03	#1
jch_8705 Academy Page Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: 77550 USA Guild: Prophets of Eveready Magic Profession: D/	ok so exactly how common is this tiger mini? ok im not whinning or whatever ive gotten 3 tigers with 4 character not too bad but if its this common is it gonna be worth anything later i mean i see the prices at around 60-80k atm to me honestly thats not alot to some i guess its a fortune but wow is that the most these kittens are gonan be at? i know the drop rate is what .33% or so whats your opinion on this commonarity lol

Feb 14, 2010, 10:04 AM // 10:04	#2
sykoone Jungle Guide Join Date: Dec 2005 Guild: Mystical Chaos Profession: E/	They're about as rare as the Ox, which dipped as low as 20k after a couple months, then started a slow climb back up.

Feb 14, 2010, 10:09 AM // 10:09	#3
Arduin Grotto Attendant Join Date: May 2005 Location: The Netherlands Guild: Limburgse Jagers [LJ] Profession: R/	The tiger is a limited offer miniature, so prices are expected to rise after CNY. However, because of the very high abundance and the easy-to-get-nature of the minipet, don't expect to get rich from selling them in the next two years.

Feb 14, 2010, 11:27 AM // 11:27	#4
jch_8705 Academy Page Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: 77550 USA Guild: Prophets of Eveready Magic Profession: D/	hum guess i should sell them now to less fortunate ppl i been getting offer left and right but im a giver hate to take advantage of ppl lol

Feb 14, 2010, 04:21 PM // 16:21	#6
Shadow Feathers Ascalonian Squire Join Date: Feb 2010	I'm with everyone else unless you're going to wait for several years you're not going to get rich from selling these minis if that's what you were really asking. Far as how common they are, they don't actually seem to be rare or at the .33% of dropping from what I've seen within my own guild. I got one after opening 90 fortunes, another guild member after only 25 fortunes and we have another who has only opened 300 and now has 4 mini tigers. Perhaps it's all just dumb luck but the drop rate seems much higer then the .33 % that wikki claims and I've seen things on wikki that were wrong before. Is there a thread where anyone is actually seeing who got what and trying to get an actual average ?

Feb 14, 2010, 04:27 PM // 16:27	#7
Baku_The_Killer Wilds Pathfinder Join Date: May 2008 Location: Spain Guild: My heros are my own guild. Profession: W/	So, why did the Celestial Pig went up to 300e+?? They're not just the same harder to get? I see Celestial Tigers unded for 40-60k... I doubt it reaches more than 100k, but don't have idea on why the Pig did.

Feb 14, 2010, 04:45 PM // 16:45	#10
Lord Dagon Desert Nomad Join Date: Jul 2009 Location: Inside the Oblivion Gate Guild: The Imperial Guards of Istan[TIGE] Profession: E/Me	perosnally i think that .33 droprate is a lie. I managed( w/in about 30 foruntes) to get 3 tigers. And before that i got 1 in my first 20. i think perosnally( just based on me) the droprate is preety darn high lmao.

Feb 14, 2010, 04:58 PM // 16:58	#11
JimmyNeutron Krytan Explorer Join Date: Sep 2007	2,680 Lunar Fortunes and ZERO (0) Celestial Tiger

Feb 14, 2010, 04:59 PM // 16:59	#12
Premium Unleaded Wilds Pathfinder Join Date: Aug 2005	http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability

Feb 14, 2010, 09:14 PM // 21:14	#20
ightgg Wilds Pathfinder Join Date: Jul 2008 Profession: Rt/	Right as im reading this thread, i decide to open 75 more fortunes (making it a total of 250 fortunes which is equal to 3 stacks of tokens) and i got one! Woot i love my tiger